Per Pro Football Reference, home playoff underdogs of four or more points are 10-0 vs. the spread over the last 50 years. The Patriots aren’t playing against history, obviously, but I do think the Broncos’ defense can keep it close. And Stidham will be rusty, obviously, but he can’t be worse than C.J. Stroud was last week.

SportsLine's top NFL experts reveal their best bets for Broncos vs. Patriots in the AFC Championship Game and Rams vs. Seahawks in the NFC Championship Game

The NFL Divisional Round playoffs weekend is here, so let's look at the odds and make some picks and predictions for the coming showdowns.

The Post’s Erich Richter makes his picks for Sunday’s NFL Conference Championship games. SUNDAY BRONCOS +4.5 over Patriots If the Broncos try to play like they normally do by having their quarterback run around the field and create plays,

NFL player prop bets and picks for Patriots vs. Broncos and Rams vs. Seahawks from the SportsLine Machine Learning Model AI